Hi JTQ,
Excellent comment, well argued reasoning about the OPs potential outfit.
I totally agree about the need for a revised guidance model, and I am still trying to devise a more reliable matching scheme. The big problem is the dynamics of a caravan can be so readily affected by how it's loaded. A well loaded big caravan can be much easier to tow than a poorly loaded small one. We also cannot dial in the biggest variable if all - the driver.p
Because there are too many uncontrolled variables (driver, road and weather conditions etc) it will be impossible and unsound to suggest any outfit combination is SAFE. So it's more a question of identifying unsuitable combinations, but based on technical grounds rather than the ad-hoc unscientific current notional towing ratio.