Hello Ray,
Let me say from the outset, I think some advice is a useful thing for caravanners old and new, but it should really be practical and realistic. If after some proper research the evidence points to a notional figure then fine, but until that research is carried out then 85% is better than nothing, but I prefer to suggest keeping the caravan weight a small as possible compared to the tow vehicle.
As you well know the I see the issue of towing ratios is a bit of a hot potato. I am not happy with setting a fixed value, as it fails to offer any guarantees.
For many years the industry advice has quoted 85%, and it has become a mantra for many, yet it over emphasis the weight ratio when in practice it is one of several very important factors that contribute to the safety of towing.
Despite extensive searches I have made I have not been able to find any evidence of any scientific investigation to verify how the advice was derived. Non of the organisations who apparently would have been party to the decision making process will disclose or confirm the process used to derive this advice.
The University of Bath University (not Bath University). have been involved with certain specific studies, and it is interesting that one abstract suggests all is not well with the industries advice:-,
http://pid.sagepub.com/content/223/4/471
Abstract
Previous work on car—trailer stability has been largely limited to theoretical studies with some reference to practical experience or accident statistics. In this study, extensive and systematic experimental investigations were carried out on a combined car—adjustable-trailer system. The influence of different trailer parameters on the system high-speed stability was examined by changing the mass, dimensions, and inertial characteristics of a fully adjustable trailer. It was found that the dominant factors affecting stability were the trailer yaw inertia, nose mass (mass distribution), and trailer axle position. The tyre pressure also affects the stability, although this effect is less significant.
It is interesting to see that the trailer mass alone does not dramatically affect the high-speed stability, as this runs contrary to current guidelines relating to limits on the relative mass of the car and trailer. Experimental tests on a friction stabilizer and on car electronic stability programs demonstrate that both of these improve the high-speed stability and help to delay the onset of ‘snaking’.
I have highlighted the section that seems to call into question the basis of the industries advice.
If you have some new information I would be very interested to follow it up.