How the noseload changes dynamically depends on speed and road conditions. At speed, the noseload will decrease due to the air pressure acting on the projected frontal area of the caravan. Under adverse conditions, it could even turn into a negative value, which can cause severe instability problems.
Of course, if the road is bad and potholed, or during braking and accelerating there will be additional loads acting on the towball due to pitching. I would estimate that the peak load when driving over speed bumps, for example, would easily be in the order of 4 to 5 times the static noseload.
To cover worst case conditions, towbars tested for type approval according to Directive 94/20/EC have to meet dynamic requirements which are even more stringent. The directive specifies a dynamic force acting at an angle of 15