Hello gary,
We seem to agree about the fundamentals concerning the wheels bolts.
Where we diverge somewhat is in your description of "However wheels do fall off caravans with somewhat alarming regularity". And the assumption that it must be down to incorrectly tightened assemblies.
I fully agree the incidence is alarming, but I disagree that it is regular, and I wonder just how often it does happen.
It is in the nature of people to complain when an incident like this happens, and I do not blame them for that, but the complaint is often repeated which can make one incident appear to be many, thus distorting the apparent numbers.
When it does happen it is alarming and disconcerting for the owner, and I in no way wish to diminish the severity of the event and its implications, but looking at the numbers of reported incidents and comparing it to the number of caravans and other similar sized and weighted trailers, the incidence is quite low. Despite that I still believe the numbers are sufficiently large to warrant a proper investigation.
As you point out in your comprehensive post there are many factors that might have a bearing on the issue, no just how tight the bolts are, or mechanisms that might cause the bolts to loose their hold.