Another sad day

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Nov 11, 2009
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People do need to check the detail of the EuroNCAP scoring before buying, or rejecting, a specific model - my VW Touareg has no seat belt warnings for the 2nd row but I never driver off without verbally checking with passengers that they're all belted - so I have every confidence it just as safe as a car with 2nd and 3rd row seat belt warnings.
That’s what my point is as the NCAPS change every two years whilst car models aren’t updated that frequently. For example the outgoing Duster was tested quite a while back and received 3 stars, but as the new one was coming in the older model got loaded with quite a bit mor kit some of which had it been fitted to the original would have led it to receive 4 stars. The new one meanwhile is still only 3 stars but obviously was tested against a newer set of criteria.
 
Jul 18, 2017
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In the UK, the data from the SMMT would say otherwise for new sales.
View attachment 7987
However many EVs are registered by the manufacturers themselves in order to get around the £15000 fine so probably not a true reflection. Also many EVs are for fleet sales as take up by the consumer is apparently still very low?
 
Jul 23, 2021
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There is definitely a variance in the Press perspective of sales and trends. As with all stats you can paint different pictures.
The Car Hire Companies have been ditching their EV fleet and not replacing at the same level.

The used EV market is well worth a look.
Allegedly the used EV prices have seriously bottomed. I admit we are tempted to take a very close look but at the moment need more convincing a medium sized EV can do 160 mile round winter trip , allowing for hold ups with heater on etc.

Son’s Volvo XC40 Recharge can’t do Cirencester to Harrogate in one go without being in the danger zone. A stop,at Nottingham for 30 mins is required.

The Volvo should suit us for the 160 but it is too pricey for a second car in the family.There’s a new Dacia coming out soon circa £15 k. Looks promising👍

Are more charging fast chargers being installed? Can’t say I’ve seen much being done near me?
On the basis the batteries generally have all lasted this list is most definitely got temptation😉
Hire cars companies have a different issue with EVs. Their customer base are not all skilled on EV use, and they have problems with users being unaccustomed to charging and the power.

The Dacia is not going to give you the 200 mile range you are looking for... :-( But there are other options that will and are also a good buy used (MG4, ZoE ZE50).

New chargers are constantly being added. There are a number of places to get info on where, but my favourite right now is plugshare (you can see the data on a map without an account).
You can set a filter to include only "coming soon"; those chargers that have planing permission approved and are in process.

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Dec 27, 2022
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According to reports in various papers, EV sales are on the wane and not on the up? I can understand maybe the odd newspapers reporting falling sales and take it with a pinch of salt, but when it is mentioned in 3- 5 newspapers then I think that there may be some truth in it.
Who owns the papers?
Most papers sing from the same hymn sheet.
What they report is their version of the "truth" which may have no relation to what is actually going on.
 
Jun 20, 2005
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So where does one go to get "the truth"?
The truth is out there but each journal seems to give their own slant. Eg some say nothing about the car hire industry which clearly distorts the figures.
Now if we could all easily see the breakdown between say Hire , Company Fleet and private individual, further broken down into size and value we may see a clearer picture.
 
Jul 23, 2021
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So where does one go to get "the truth"?
In this case, the source data from the SMMT, which I posted the link to.
@RogerL The month by month data is available, but it is only to buy, and is expensive. But the year on year and month on month, growth and absolute numbers are both up.
 
Jul 18, 2017
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Who owns the papers?
Most papers sing from the same hymn sheet.
What they report is their version of the "truth" which may have no relation to what is actually going on.
Maybe papers was the wrong word to use when I should have said car magazines and papers singing a similar hymn. It does seem very plausible?
 
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Maybe papers was the wrong word to use when I should have said car magazines and papers singing a similar hymn. It does seem very plausible?
I can't speak about car magazines as it's many many years since I read them. My view on papers is whatever is in print is slanted to suit the owners purse so can never be relied upon.
 
Nov 6, 2005
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Latest SMMT figures show an increasing sales for EV eleven months in a row, but still below the Government’s target percentage.

It's not clear how many of those EV sales are pre-registrations subsequently sold at a substantial discount to save the manufacturer paying fines for not meeting the government mandated 22% EV sales for 2024. It's going to be harder next year at 28%


"Yet despite these discounts, estimated by the SMMT to be in the realm of £4billion, annual EV market share in the UK still remains below the specified target, at 18.7 per cent"
 
Nov 11, 2009
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It's not clear how many of those EV sales are pre-registrations subsequently sold at a substantial discount to save the manufacturer paying fines for not meeting the government mandated 22% EV sales for 2024. It's going to be harder next year at 28%


"Yet despite these discounts, estimated by the SMMT to be in the realm of £4billion, annual EV market share in the UK still remains below the specified target, at 18.7 per cent"
Just because a target is stated it doesn’t mean it’s feasible to achieve it. Look at today’s announcements. It’s not that long ago that we were offered 30 new hospitals and 8 nuclear power stations by 2030. 🙈
 
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Jul 18, 2017
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It's not clear how many of those EV sales are pre-registrations subsequently sold at a substantial discount to save the manufacturer paying fines for not meeting the government mandated 22% EV sales for 2024. It's going to be harder next year at 28%


"Yet despite these discounts, estimated by the SMMT to be in the realm of £4billion, annual EV market share in the UK still remains below the specified target, at 18.7 per cent"
The pre-registration is really skewing the figures, but probably cheaper than paying a £15000 fine per unit. If that fine was dropped then we will see the true figures.
 
Jul 23, 2021
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The pre-registration is really skewing the figures, but probably cheaper than paying a £15000 fine per unit. If that fine was dropped then we will see the true figures.
Pre-registration is not a phenomenon new with EV sales, it's been present in the industry for years. It was and is practiced by both dealers and manufacturers to help show sales on monthly, quarterly and annual sales boundaries, and in line with the changes in registration plates.
Is there some going on here with EVs to help minimise the cost of sales of ICE? Probably.
Would removing the imposed fines remove the practice of pre-registration? No. Are the _majority_ of sales here actually pre-reg to help ICE sales? Also no - some maybe, most wont (I would bet it's in the low percentage points of registrations).
Does the pre-registration of a car mean it wont make it into real ownership and onto the road? Definitely not. Those cars will still be sold, all be at a discount, and represent genuine sales in the slightly longer term, and probably fantastic value for the new owners.

What pre-registration really shows is the missed understanding of the impact of transition from ICE to EV for the manufacturers who are having to resort to it. In an article on the BBC today there are some more nuanced figures on manufacturers who have been able to meet the 22% target.

"Vauxhall's EVs represent 36% of its sales, Peugeot's 29%, Renault's 27%, MG's 27% and Skoda's 23%, according to the non-profit New AutoMotive."

So part of Stelantis and VW are making it work. The question is why are they not translating that to other brands in their group?
 
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Nov 6, 2005
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Is there some going on here with EVs to help minimise the cost of sales of ICE? Probably.


Pre-registration of EVs is estimated at £4 Bn - that's a lot.

Manufacturers don't need to meet 22% for each brand in their group - it's fine to have some brands above and some below - what matters to Stellantis and VW Group is whether their total group sales are above or below.
 
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Pre-registration of EVs is estimated at £4 Bn - that's a lot.

Manufacturers don't need to meet 22% for each brand in their group - it's fine to have some brands above and some below - what matters to Stellantis and VW Group is whether their total group sales are above or below.
4Bn is a lot. But how much is pre-reg for ICE? It is a big number, but compared to what?
I appreciate that the 22% can be spread across the group, but the point is the sales are much stronger in some brands than others. I am questioning the why of the difference (and I think its to do with market appeal and quality of product, not drive train).
 
Nov 6, 2005
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4Bn is a lot. But how much is pre-reg for ICE? It is a big number, but compared to what?
I appreciate that the 22% can be spread across the group, but the point is the sales are much stronger in some brands than others. I am questioning the why of the difference (and I think its to do with market appeal and quality of product, not drive train).
Within both Stellantis and VW Group, each brand has models which are at different points in their production cycle so there will be substantial differences despite sharing underpinnings within each group.
 
Jul 18, 2017
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Pre-registration of EVs is estimated at £4 Bn - that's a lot.

Manufacturers don't need to meet 22% for each brand in their group - it's fine to have some brands above and some below - what matters to Stellantis and VW Group is whether their total group sales are above or below.
Perfectly correct, but some cannot accept it. (y) :D
 
Nov 6, 2005
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It looks like leasing companies may have to take a massive hit on EV residual values - "Some EVs, originally forecast to retain over 40% of their list price after three years, are achieving sale values in the 20% range" which is a horrendous level of depreciation.
 
Nov 11, 2009
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It looks like leasing companies may have to take a massive hit on EV residual values - "Some EVs, originally forecast to retain over 40% of their list price after three years, are achieving sale values in the 20% range" which is a horrendous level of depreciation.
It’s been apparent for some months now at our local Kia dealership who have been sellng pre owned electric prestige marques at low prices and not particularly high mileages.
 
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Jun 20, 2005
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#3 & #4 originally said it all.
The poor old Dealer may not be a Dealer much longer 😢
What he sells is academic. Post Budget I suspect a significant number will gradually crumble. Shame Mr Sillyband can’t add 10years to his time frame.
 
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Jul 18, 2017
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Quick fire question:
Will the banning of selling ICE vehicles really happen in 2030?
Maybe new ICE vehicles, but not second hand. The price of second hand ICE vehicles will probably rocket up. More than likely it will be put back to 2035, then 2040, then 2045 etc.
 
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Quick fire question:
Will the banning of selling ICE vehicles really happen in 2030?
Probably - there's a significant minority of drivers determined not to buy an EV by that date so there's likely to be a flood of IC purchases in 2029 and car makers are likely to start 2030 with minimal inventory of IC cars - and the demand for used IC cars will go up as the target EV % ramps up and car makers either restrict IC sales or increase prices of IC cars to cover the fines.

It's already clear that many buyers are holding on to their used IC car much longer than normal, presumably with the intention of buying one more IC car before the ban comes in.

In the mean time, China will continue flooding the UK and EU markets with cheap, subsidised EVs - which will undercut UK and EU manufacturers driving some of them out of business - then the price of Chinese EVs will shoot up!
 
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