- Jul 18, 2017
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What we are seeing here Prof has been studied for decades. Zoonosis. The transfer of disease between humans and animals. As you point out to transfer a virus has to mutate. What is of great concern is multi transference animal to man to animal to man etc. Each time the mutation may or not become a stronger strain. I agree this is cause for concern and probably casts more thought on the origin in Wuhan. Was it man or animal. Was it a Sars virus that mutated? Probably yes!
On balance I suspect the frequency of mutation between the two species wonβt hurt us more than present . Fortunately I donβt know of any Mink, Pangolins near me.
Defo one to keep an eye on and worth following the Royal Veterinary College papers.
I had to do a test in Aug and send off the results to a hospital in London. Two weeks later got the results. Had to do another Covid test early in Oct and got results 3 days later. Got to go for another test in 10 days time.Oh and am really glad some hospital trusts are good; my father in law went in last week to ours, and the paramedics diagnosed a cough and temperature-and sent me for a test and to isolate. I got a test within 30mins of being told-amazing and had the results back at 8.30am the day after-negative as were his-but he was admitted to hospital at 3pm and hadn't a test while lying in a ward till 7pm and the results back 2 days later-something is seriously wrong there!
I don't see J Loughie's point in comparing the UK scheme to elsewhere as the circumstances surrounding each countries approach will be different rendering differnt solutions. You can only access your own countries scheme so there's no point in being jealous or superior.
Hi RogerL I would agree about mink are common in UK where i use to go fishing there was fresh tracks on the rocks of a pond in the early morning but so far i havent seen a Pangolins .Mink are surprisingly common in the UK, but shy so rarely seen - released from fur farms by misguided animal rights campaigners, they're a major threat to native species like water voles - fortunately, the clean-up of British rivers has allowed otter numbers to build up and they won't tolerate mink on their territories.
I think we're safe from Pangolins though!
How most viruses behave is of interest, and it may of course give some clues to how C19 might behave, but in this instance we are just concerned with C19, and it has jumped species, at least twice, and some of the evidence strongly suggests it has mutated and it has already developed some new characteristics that compromise our efforts on producing an effective vaccine. That makes it significantly more dangerous.What we are seeing here Prof has been studied for decades. Zoonosis. The transfer of disease between humans and animals. As you point out to transfer a virus has to mutate. What is of great concern is multi transference animal to man to animal to man etc. Each time the mutation may or not become a stronger strain. I agree this is cause for concern and probably casts more thought on the origin in Wuhan. Was it man or animal. Was it a Sars virus that mutated? Probably yes!
On balance I suspect the frequency of mutation between the two species wonβt hurt us more than present . Fortunately I donβt know of any Mink, Pangolins near me.
Defo one to keep an eye on and worth following the Royal Veterinary College papers.
What we donβt know, the jury is still out, did C19 start with a human or animal? The rate of cross transfer is certainly of great concern. I doubt we will ever know. Was it truly Chinese in origin or like the Spanish flu which never started in Spainπ€.How most viruses behave is of interest, and it may of course give some clues to how C19 might behave, but in this instance we are just concerned with C19, and it has jumped species, at least twice, and some of the evidence strongly suggests it has mutated and it has already developed some new characteristics that compromise our efforts on producing an effective vaccine. That makes it significantly more dangerous.
You are correct, the Spanish flue did not start in Spain.What we donβt know, the jury is still out, did C19 start with a human or animal? The rate of cross transfer is certainly of great concern. I doubt we will ever know. Was it truly Chinese in origin or like the Spanish flu which never started in Spainπ€.
Itβs not categorically clear where it first originated, although the first noticeable outbreaks were in a Kansas military camp. Then US soldiers are thought to have brought it to Europe, and then returning soldiers are thought to be likely to be responsible for a second US wave.If I recall correctly the Spanish flu also originated in China towards the end of the first world war and was brought over by Chinese workers.
Correct as in thsoe days they did not have the expertise to narrow down exactly where it originated. Chinese workers around the camp possibily?Itβs not categorically clear where it first originated, although the first noticeable outbreaks were in a Kansas military camp. Then US soldiers are thought to have brought it to Europe, and then returning soldiers are thought to be likely to be responsible for a second US wave.
Stanford university paper
As you don't give a quote or reference to the evidence, its difficult to verify or validate your statement. Give any two experts the same information, and they are likely to disagree abut details or teh best course of action. Who is to say "Unredacted" is right and the Gov't was wrong?According to Unredacted, the technical evidence freely available to all, says a full Lockdown was unnecessary. In fact the rates of R values have remained the same for the last two weeks and in non City areas is reducing. Hence why BoJo was holding back.
As you don't give a quote or reference to the evidence, its difficult to verify or validate your statement. Give any two experts the same information, and they are likely to disagree abut details or teh best course of action. Who is to say "Unredacted" is right and the Gov't was wrong?
Even the UK Chief Statistician said this week the figures that HMG used were two weeks old and mire up to date ones were available. Plus the curves used as the basis of the decision showed some extreme figures that were statistically unsound.As you don't give a quote or reference to the evidence, its difficult to verify or validate your statement. Give any two experts the same information, and they are likely to disagree abut details or teh best course of action. Who is to say "Unredacted" is right and the Gov't was wrong?